Map
ReportsThere are two alternative sources of data for the future change in population:
- Oxfordshire County Council’s housing-led forecasts which incorporate district council plans for house building
- ONS projections based on past trends.
- Summary of the latest Oxfordshire housing-led forecasts (August 2024)
- JSNA Bitesize on future population growth (August 2024)
- Excel spreadsheet with OCC housing-led forecasts by local authority district and MSOA (including methodology, August 2024)
- ONS 2018-based population projections (based on past trends) released March 2020, next provisional release 9th May 2025
The below table summarises when you would use the two different models
| Variable | ONS Projections | Oxfordshire County Council Forecasts |
|---|---|---|
| Geographies available | Districts, counties and national | Oxfordshire MSOAs (small areas), districts and county |
| Time period | 25 years | 10 years (limited by new housing feed) |
| New housing | Implicitly included via historical migration figures, which partly include house-building | Explicitly includes population change arising from new house building in the Local Plans |
| Base Population | Latest ONS mid-year estimate (MYE) | Latest ONS mid-year estimate (MYE) |
| Uses | To compare with areas outside Oxfordshire.
For returns to central government where standardized figures are required. |
To understand local growth and service needs.
To examine population change at smaller areas (MSOAs). |
Previous Publications
Oxfordshire County Council housing-led forecasts: